0xd1a99e10e98bf5ee1fc4ab2e74761e6d14fe5c6e
- Realised P&L
- $-51.23
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $142.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.625 | $37.71 | +$7.26 |
| Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.121 | 0.180 | $25.22 | +$8.23 |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? · No | 0.672 | 0.815 | $23.70 | +$4.15 |
| Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.221 | 0.251 | $22.69 | +$2.69 |
| Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.167 | $17.82 | +$4.01 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.201 | $9.58 | −$5.42 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.022 | $6.23 | −$6.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.74at 0.308Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
- +$38.54at 0.507Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$28.84at 0.423Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$24.22at 0.685Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
- +$21.44at 0.496Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 10:16 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 17:34 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.6366666667 | $9.55 |
| 08-17 17:50 | Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2208354162 | $20.00 |
| 08-17 17:50 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1212855103 | $16.99 |
| 08-17 17:49 | Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.129085007 | $13.82 |
| 08-13 19:16 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.5499999957 | $19.00 |
| 08-12 13:06 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.4437999225 | $11.45 |
| 08-10 13:30 | Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 19:45 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5899999992 | $30.00 |
| 07-07 16:26 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 07-06 20:34 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 07-04 18:45 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | SELL | 0.95 | $51.81 |
| 07-04 12:48 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3139999898 | $15.00 |
| 07-04 12:47 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0450830325 | $12.49 |
| 07-03 21:05 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7? | SELL | 0.9 | $37.52 |