PolyBot

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Traders

Sergei82

0xd19a01af4e5381316ca9fb1e2c892b0c529dc876

Realised P&L
$-154.47
Volume
$27.1k
Markets traded
1,233
Open portfolio
$27.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,233
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9200.885$9.62−$0.38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? · No0.8700.905$5.20+$0.20
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? · Yes0.6500.755$3.48+$0.48
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5310.480$2.71−$0.29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2800.135$2.41−$2.59
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms? · Yes0.8700.875$2.01+$0.01
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.8800.885$2.01+$0.01
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6420.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET · Up0.5940.000$0.00−$3.65
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$2.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$7.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5340.000$0.00−$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Down0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28? · Yes0.9000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 07:02Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.8299999792$2.00
09-28 07:02Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.88$2.00
09-27 05:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?BUY0.8699999983$5.00
09-27 05:38US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9629999992$5.00
09-27 05:38US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8699999652$3.00
09-25 16:36Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?BUY0.8699999913$2.00
09-22 12:41Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5309999543$3.00
09-22 12:40Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.8799999859$5.00
09-22 12:40Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.2969999442$1.00
09-22 12:39Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?SELL0.7038802817$4.00
09-21 04:28Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?SELL0.001$0.02
09-21 04:27Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.05$0.25
09-18 17:52Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 23?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
09-18 17:50Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.8799998733$5.00
09-18 17:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?BUY0.96$5.00