Sergei82
0xd19a01af4e5381316ca9fb1e2c892b0c529dc876
- Realised P&L
- $-154.47
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,233
- Open portfolio
- $27.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,233
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.88at 0.681Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
- +$22.27at 0.043Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
- +$17.28at 0.258Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$12.72at 0.586Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$11.56at 0.927Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:02 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 07:02 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 09-27 05:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 05:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999992 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 05:38 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 09-25 16:36 | Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 12:41 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5309999543 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 12:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 12:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.2969999442 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 12:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.7038802817 | $4.00 |
| 09-21 04:28 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-21 04:27 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-18 17:52 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 23? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 17:50 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.8799998733 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |