altaironmission
0xd18de01d75359283acae382168d985323d3ae7b4
- Realised P&L
- $622.15
- Volume
- $122.6k
- Markets traded
- 236
- Open portfolio
- $6.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded236
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$512.96at 0.615Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$223.74at 0.206Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$203.44at 0.319Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$197.12at 0.092Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$189.62at 0.209Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:46 | Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5629 | $56.29 |
| 11-01 16:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0241922896 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 16:09 | 1win FDV above $30M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.50 |
| 10-31 17:15 | Will 1win launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0025191958 | $0.87 |
| 10-31 17:14 | Will 1win launch a token by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0022786939 | $0.49 |
| 10-30 11:48 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.5199999907 | $24.65 |
| 10-30 11:48 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-30 09:07 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M? | BUY | 0.1717557247 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 09:27 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M? | BUY | 0.1 | $25.00 |
| 10-29 07:29 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.27 | $48.21 |
| 10-28 06:36 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? | BUY | 0.1 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 06:36 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? | BUY | 0.1 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 06:28 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? | BUY | 0.1 | $25.00 |
| 10-28 06:25 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? | BUY | 0.1 | $25.00 |
| 10-27 09:54 | Beezie FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3454894415 | $50.00 |