wisegregory
0xd1802ae5ed15935d2333d98ebde523f6eb90c65d
- Realised P&L
- $3.29
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $21.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 4? · No | 0.730 | 0.615 | $15.38 | −$2.88 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.195 | $3.90 | −$9.30 |
| Greece vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.640 | 0.645 | $1.79 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.77at 0.620Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 16?
- +$0.51at 0.992Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.20at 0.994Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$0.15at 0.980Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
- +$0.14at 0.989Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:17 | Will Chainlink dip to $6 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.97 |
| 01-30 15:50 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.09 |
| 01-30 12:27 | Will OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.04 |
| 01-30 11:57 | Will Chainlink hit $21 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $77.25 |
| 12-30 13:30 | Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.80 |
| 12-29 20:27 | Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.81 |
| 12-29 20:21 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.38 |
| 12-29 18:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.992 | $62.98 |
| 10-30 20:04 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.23 |
| 10-30 19:54 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.35 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.42 |
| 10-30 19:18 | Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.38 |
| 09-29 18:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $3400 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.28 |
| 09-29 13:56 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | BUY | 0.9969999751 | $13.92 |
| 09-29 04:54 | Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September? | BUY | 0.9989999741 | $17.53 |
| 09-28 22:00 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before October? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.06 |