0xd17aa8b0dc8e91d7f2ff4d1cde7d5ddcd6ae5e27
- Realised P&L
- $-321.84
- Volume
- $27.2k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $135.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.92at 0.154Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katerina Siniakova vs Anna Kalinskaya
- +$6.51at 0.659Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$5.82at 0.490Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.95at 0.684Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$3.77at 0.841Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:14 | Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.83 |
| 08-02 00:14 | Will Green Bay Packers win the 2026 NFC North? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.30 |
| 08-02 00:14 | Will Detroit Lions win the 2026 NFC North? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.35 |
| 08-02 00:10 | Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.48 | $10.32 |
| 08-02 00:10 | Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.60 |
| 08-01 08:13 | Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? | SELL | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 08-01 08:13 | Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.27 | $11.61 |
| 08-01 08:12 | Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.68 | $14.28 |
| 08-01 08:11 | Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 07-27 00:03 | Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.72 |
| 07-25 17:29 | Solana Up or Down - July 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-24 09:20 | Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.82 |
| 07-17 00:05 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 07-16 00:08 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.297 | $5.94 |
| 07-16 00:08 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.164 | $3.28 |