TUKARUL
0xd175599d0034bfeb1c478827d201442048ee46ef
- Realised P&L
- $4.7k
- Volume
- $153.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $109.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.005 | $104.91 | −$509.07 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.006 | $4.16 | −$95.84 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$161.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.42 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.57 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$145.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.038US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$1.6kat 0.110US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$323.15at 0.232US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$314.26at 0.160US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$227.44at 0.660US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 13:27 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0097775783 | $172.00 |
| 08-06 11:59 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999997 | $382.00 |
| 08-04 13:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1799999992 | $161.00 |
| 08-04 13:36 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999997 | $145.00 |
| 07-07 19:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $41.42 |
| 07-07 19:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0384959839 | $70.00 |
| 07-07 19:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1562133875 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 19:00 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0158430721 | $70.00 |
| 07-07 19:00 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.0309590031 | $70.00 |
| 07-07 19:00 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999976 | $60.00 |
| 06-23 11:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $17.00 |
| 06-23 11:30 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $30.00 |
| 06-14 22:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $209.09 |
| 06-14 22:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.8744457854 | $927.44 |
| 06-14 22:50 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.72951279 | $1.9k |