PolyBot

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Traders

0xd16b3e4ac0c59afdaaeddb48a34bc9525a73c3a0

0xd16b3e4ac0c59afdaaeddb48a34bc9525a73c3a0

Realised P&L
$-640.06
Volume
$18.7k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$91.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? · Yes0.2500.315$22.93+$4.73
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.003$11.38+$2.28
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2200.225$9.51+$0.21
Clippers vs. Warriors · Warriors0.5400.535$9.21−$0.09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1920.183$8.98−$0.42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2? · Yes0.0900.075$7.58−$1.52
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3340.155$5.09−$5.87
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2? · No0.1160.064$4.98−$4.12
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4100.195$4.47−$4.93
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2? · No0.1300.055$3.85−$5.25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2580.432$3.54+$1.42
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · Hanwha Life Esports0.6000.000$0.00−$7.27
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$9.30
Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5) · SS Lazio0.2470.000$0.00−$8.47
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$18.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:31Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.4099999788$4.65
11-01 20:36Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2?BUY0.13$9.10
11-01 20:36Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2?BUY0.25$18.20
11-01 20:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 2?BUY0.1159999998$9.10
11-01 20:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 2?BUY0.0899999992$9.10
11-01 16:47Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)BUY0.3551677757$7.35
11-01 15:06Exact Score: Real Racing Club 1 - 3 Real Madrid CF?BUY0.0899999994$9.30
11-01 14:21Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)BUY0.2470828471$8.47
11-01 12:01Como 1907 vs. Venezia FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.7299999714$6.37
11-01 05:55Clippers vs. WarriorsBUY0.5399999756$9.30
10-31 17:18Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?BUY0.0899999994$9.30
10-31 17:11Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?BUY0.05$9.30
10-31 17:11Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?BUY0.0911684263$9.30
10-31 16:56Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 1 Deportivo Alavés?BUY0.0899999994$9.30
10-31 16:56Exact Score: FC Barcelona 3 - 0 Deportivo Alavés?BUY0.1099999994$9.30