MillaCherry
0xd14877a759cfd0c5a9fee180749eee9a9c115660
- Realised P&L
- $-69.96
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $20.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.847 | $8.47 | +$2.47 |
| Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.320 | $3.31 | +$0.31 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.145 | $2.42 | +$0.42 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? · No | 0.140 | 0.145 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.064 | $1.76 | −$0.46 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.165 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.150 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.025 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.59at 0.390Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026?
- +$2.93at 0.430Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?
- +$2.72at 0.360Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 12, 2026?
- +$0.79at 0.600Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.03at 0.330Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 23:53 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 12:18 | Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 05:22 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.59 |
| 10-13 01:28 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.57 |
| 10-12 21:05 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 10-12 06:53 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:42 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 06:32 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 23:07 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 13:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 12:41 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 12:41 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.84 | $2.84 |
| 10-05 12:32 | Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:35 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.29 |
| 10-03 12:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |