HaroldSmith3771
0xd1373135de8c0e051e4f71723d75c9445d45ceac
- Realised P&L
- $564.69
- Volume
- $240.6k
- Markets traded
- 310
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded310
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$629.16at 0.420Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
- +$411.16at 0.120Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-03-06?
- +$396.75at 0.310Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
- +$304.56at 0.460Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?
- +$249.39at 0.240Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 16:11 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.695 | $6.95 |
| 04-27 08:39 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | SELL | 0.08 | $42.96 |
| 04-23 12:31 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | BUY | 0.09 | $48.33 |
| 04-12 00:07 | Will Chiaki Kobayashi as Yoshiki Tsujinaka (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? | SELL | 0.85 | $78.20 |
| 04-10 15:20 | Will Chiaki Kobayashi as Yoshiki Tsujinaka (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards? | BUY | 0.87 | $80.04 |
| 04-09 14:36 | Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.41 | $79.54 |
| 04-08 12:23 | Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? | BUY | 0.79 | $122.45 |
| 03-31 03:21 | Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.12 | $51.48 |
| 03-31 03:19 | Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11? | SELL | 0.11 | $21.89 |
| 03-29 20:21 | Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11? | BUY | 0.82 | $674.04 |
| 03-26 07:47 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.72 |
| 03-26 07:46 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $63.69 |
| 03-25 18:05 | Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $178.62 |
| 03-25 16:19 | Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $24.60 |
| 03-23 22:47 | Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $203.81 |