PolyBot

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Traders

HaroldSmith3771

0xd1373135de8c0e051e4f71723d75c9445d45ceac

Realised P&L
$564.69
Volume
$240.6k
Markets traded
310
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded310
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Querétaro FC vs. FC Juárez end in a draw? · Yes0.2701.000$974.00+$711.02
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · U 84.50.8600.934$861.61+$68.69
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka · Afghanistan0.2100.510$264.69+$155.70
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · No0.7901.000$155.00+$32.55
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.1410.932$142.67+$121.10
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season? · No0.6301.000$70.00+$25.90
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6500.938$39.40+$12.10
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? · No0.5000.850$33.15+$13.65
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.7800.981$23.53+$4.81
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · No0.7401.000$2.00+$0.52
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.085$1.27$4.28
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes0.2800.078$0.39$1.01
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils vs. Southern Jaguars · Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils0.1800.000$0.00$8.28
Will "Weird" or "Weirdo" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes? · No0.3300.000$0.00$188.10
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 16:11Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?SELL0.695$6.95
04-27 08:39Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL0.08$42.96
04-23 12:31Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?BUY0.09$48.33
04-12 00:07Will Chiaki Kobayashi as Yoshiki Tsujinaka (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?SELL0.85$78.20
04-10 15:20Will Chiaki Kobayashi as Yoshiki Tsujinaka (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?BUY0.87$80.04
04-09 14:36Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?SELL0.41$79.54
04-08 12:23Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?BUY0.79$122.45
03-31 03:21Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?SELL0.12$51.48
03-31 03:19Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?SELL0.11$21.89
03-29 20:21Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-04-11?BUY0.82$674.04
03-26 07:47Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?SELL0.11$5.72
03-26 07:46Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?SELL0.11$63.69
03-25 18:05Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?SELL0.78$178.62
03-25 16:19Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 25, 2026?SELL0.12$24.60
03-23 22:47Will Tundra Esports win ESL One Birmingham 2026?BUY0.89$203.81