NX-Trading
0xd133d98e41e0be0016d559ac90182ad95db6ef27
- Realised P&L
- $-41.2k
- Volume
- $2.51M
- Markets traded
- 245
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded245
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.6kat 0.607Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.1kat 0.275Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$4.2kat 0.363Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
- +$3.9kat 0.744Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?
- +$2.4kat 0.374Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.58 | $136.62 |
| 08-04 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.28 |
| 08-04 10:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.62 | $47.12 |
| 08-04 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.56 | $108.06 |
| 08-04 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.48 | $132.59 |
| 08-04 07:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.48 | $107.70 |
| 08-04 05:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.37 | $22.54 |
| 08-04 05:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.37 | $79.55 |
| 08-04 05:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.62 | $58.55 |
| 08-04 04:52 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.64 | $102.00 |
| 08-04 04:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.28 | $162.67 |
| 08-04 02:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.47 | $192.56 |
| 08-04 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.42 | $79.20 |
| 08-04 01:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $45.30 |
| 08-04 01:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $479.41 |