PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NX-Trading

0xd133d98e41e0be0016d559ac90182ad95db6ef27

Realised P&L
$-41.2k
Volume
$2.51M
Markets traded
245
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded245
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.2290.210$617.61$55.75
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2460.276$433.21+$45.55
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6560.645$429.05$7.59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.3710.360$116.26$3.68
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.2730.254$38.48$2.91
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? · Down0.5870.335$29.88$22.52
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0610.055$19.16$2.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0030.001$2.55$10.68
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$10.41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$254.51
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July? · Yes0.1590.000$0.00$24.68
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in July? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00$12.06
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$4.24
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$3.06
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00$48.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 11:06Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?SELL0.58$136.62
08-04 10:53Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.4$5.28
08-04 10:21Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.62$47.12
08-04 07:48Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.56$108.06
08-04 07:30Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?SELL0.48$132.59
08-04 07:11Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.48$107.70
08-04 05:21Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?SELL0.37$22.54
08-04 05:20Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?SELL0.37$79.55
08-04 05:19Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.62$58.55
08-04 04:52Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.64$102.00
08-04 04:46Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?SELL0.28$162.67
08-04 02:23Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?SELL0.47$192.56
08-04 01:42Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.42$79.20
08-04 01:41Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.38$45.30
08-04 01:37Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4?BUY0.5$479.41