PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

therealcrucenho

0xd0b76cdf68b1cc03619455b92e196c72e339fa4b

Realised P&L
$2.71
Volume
$119.4k
Markets traded
740
Open portfolio
$814.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded740
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 20:47Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.7199999669$1.74
07-08 20:29Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.831$1.59
07-06 16:38Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9489999966$12.34
07-06 14:51Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?SELL0.14$5.48
07-06 14:49Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?SELL0.15$2.14
07-06 13:24Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$4.85
07-06 07:31Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?BUY0.7599994847$1.18
07-06 07:24US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?SELL0.029$1.13
07-06 06:07Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899999825$6.71
07-06 06:06Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?BUY0.8699999933$5.23
07-06 06:03Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
07-06 06:01Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?SELL0.89$7.31
07-06 04:09Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
07-06 04:00Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1209999055$1.00
07-06 03:57Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?BUY0.88$3.12