R19hehe
0xd0ae06458c99efd10c9a0d4a70a1d5962db773dd
- Realised P&L
- $-48.72
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 1,561
- Open portfolio
- $25.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,561
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.86at 0.006Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
- +$60.18at 0.005Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
- +$47.85at 0.102Will NVIDIA say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?
- +$40.59at 0.041Will Puerto Rico win Miss Universe 2025?
- +$36.84at 0.005Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-26 20:43 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.31 |
| 08-26 20:39 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.94 |
| 08-15 04:45 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.41 |
| 08-15 04:41 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.41 |
| 08-13 18:01 | Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.45 |
| 08-11 09:56 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? | SELL | 0.53 | $4.35 |
| 08-07 23:20 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? | SELL | 0.57 | $4.10 |
| 05-23 15:34 | Will Lecce be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? | SELL | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 05-23 11:24 | Will Rihanna release an album in 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $3.52 |
| 05-23 01:34 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 05-21 23:24 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.90 |
| 05-21 02:22 | Will Kendrick Lamar release an album in 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.06 |
| 05-20 07:21 | Elder Scrolls VI released by December 31? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.16 |
| 05-19 04:48 | Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.88 |
| 05-17 16:13 | Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |