PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CharlieFHaynes

0xd0852122c359b7c06c435c75033ddb0a78636cfe

Realised P&L
$-27.72
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
295
Open portfolio
$44.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded295
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.245$17.49$1.79
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? · Yes0.8800.950$10.80+$0.80
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8300.835$9.70+$0.06
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.9100.930$6.19+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$5.81
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9? · No0.5800.000$0.00$0.82
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.1700.000$0.00$4.54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$12.89
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 11? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.02
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals0.5000.000$0.00$9.24
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on July 9? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$2.04
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 · Over0.5100.000$0.00$9.91
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 · Over0.5500.000$0.00$9.58
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$5.05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$7.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 05:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999672$3.54
07-13 05:03Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999973$6.10
07-12 20:43Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
07-12 17:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?BUY0.130829648$2.14
07-12 17:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?BUY0.0791666667$4.75
07-12 16:34Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?BUY0.16$2.60
07-12 16:34Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?BUY0.1133333333$3.40
07-12 16:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?BUY0.1226414902$5.00
07-12 13:14Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?SELL0.78$5.25
07-12 12:48Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?BUY0.089117632$5.05
07-12 12:30Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?BUY0.28$5.81
07-12 09:54Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?BUY0.6412422468$4.32
07-11 20:16Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?BUY0.481118547$5.00
07-10 09:10Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999849$9.64
07-10 09:09Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999849$9.64