CharlieFHaynes
0xd0852122c359b7c06c435c75033ddb0a78636cfe
- Realised P&L
- $-27.72
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $44.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.69at 0.190US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$12.06at 0.457Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays
- +$10.47at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?
- +$9.63at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11PM ET
- +$9.31at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 05:04 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999672 | $3.54 |
| 07-13 05:03 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999973 | $6.10 |
| 07-12 20:43 | Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-12 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.130829648 | $2.14 |
| 07-12 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.0791666667 | $4.75 |
| 07-12 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.60 |
| 07-12 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.1133333333 | $3.40 |
| 07-12 16:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.1226414902 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 13:14 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12? | SELL | 0.78 | $5.25 |
| 07-12 12:48 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.089117632 | $5.05 |
| 07-12 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.81 |
| 07-12 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12? | BUY | 0.6412422468 | $4.32 |
| 07-11 20:16 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11? | BUY | 0.481118547 | $5.00 |
| 07-10 09:10 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999849 | $9.64 |
| 07-10 09:09 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999849 | $9.64 |