0xd073c17fa91015e10711083d36ca92a15905f6f2
0xd073c17fa91015e10711083d36ca92a15905f6f2
- Realised P&L
- $2.31
- Volume
- $327.50
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $8.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.957 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.335 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.835 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.625 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.510 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.730 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.650 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.050 | $0.30 | −$1.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.70at 0.227Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$6.57at 0.250US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$5.63at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.01at 0.359Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$3.23at 0.410Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 18:27 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:48 | Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.5B? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:24 | Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.1B? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:39 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 20:25 | Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:15 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:22 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:19 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:19 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 10:05 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 02:00 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:29 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:35 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |