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Traders

0xd046579ffb7034630C0D1F895Ca071561cf4C496-1770129675302

0xd046579ffb7034630c0d1f895ca071561cf4c496

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$78.6k
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran target Oman by October 31, 2026? · No0.9050.974$155.11+$10.90
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? · No0.9610.979$154.60+$2.79
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · No0.9400.935$149.59−$0.80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · No0.9320.945$131.98+$1.80
Houthi military action against Mecca by October 31, 2026? · No0.9550.990$118.79+$4.24
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028? · Yes0.7320.725$59.45−$0.59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? · No0.9770.970$58.20−$0.42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8490.825$55.42−$1.64
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.4610.885$54.87+$26.29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.5850.589$51.83+$0.31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? · Yes0.8000.815$48.90+$0.90
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8500.830$48.82−$1.18
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · No0.8500.870$34.89+$0.80
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? · No0.7820.725$29.00−$2.30
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.3730.365$25.55−$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 15:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?BUY0.37$18.50
11-01 13:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.95$66.50
11-01 10:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?BUY0.977$58.62
11-01 01:49Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?SELL0.295$20.65
10-31 20:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?BUY0.8$48.00
10-31 20:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.994$59.64
10-31 20:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?BUY0.94$150.39
10-31 20:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.998$150.70
10-30 00:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?BUY0.95$18.68
10-29 22:28NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?BUY0.961$131.66
10-29 22:28NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?BUY0.96$20.16
10-29 21:46NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.997$167.50
10-28 17:24Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028?SELL0.3$3.00
10-28 01:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.94$9.54
10-28 01:29NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.985$47.28
Trader 0xd046579ffb7034630C0D1F895Ca071561cf4C496-1770129675302 · PolyBot Pro