0xd046579ffb7034630C0D1F895Ca071561cf4C496-1770129675302
0xd046579ffb7034630c0d1f895ca071561cf4c496
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $78.6k
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$192.96at 0.341Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
- +$177.28at 0.360Will Troy win the 2026 Sun Belt conference championship?
- +$149.63at 0.572Toledo Rockets vs. Akron Zips
- +$146.03at 0.170Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclones
- +$131.56at 0.432VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 15:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 11-01 13:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $66.50 |
| 11-01 10:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.977 | $58.62 |
| 11-01 01:49 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | SELL | 0.295 | $20.65 |
| 10-31 20:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $48.00 |
| 10-31 20:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $59.64 |
| 10-31 20:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $150.39 |
| 10-31 20:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $150.70 |
| 10-30 00:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $18.68 |
| 10-29 22:28 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $131.66 |
| 10-29 22:28 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.16 |
| 10-29 21:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $167.50 |
| 10-28 17:24 | Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2028? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 01:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.54 |
| 10-28 01:29 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $47.28 |