PolyBot

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Traders

bgfdku

0xd04002c414f7b0d231ab365191e26e09bca2cf59

Realised P&L
$3.16
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$1.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 15:12Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
06-30 14:44Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?BUY0.7735447689$1.00
04-25 14:12Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.925$1.00
02-28 14:54Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
02-25 12:31S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
02-10 15:20Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?SELL0.841$4.00
02-10 14:00Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?BUY0.4199999454$2.00
02-05 01:54Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?BUY0.5$9.00
01-23 07:03Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.3799999012$0.97
01-23 06:57Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.02$1.00
12-01 03:05Mavericks vs. ThunderBUY0.8799999987$26.30
11-20 07:12Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.982999995$11.00
10-22 08:14Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 22?BUY0.9399999906$4.00
10-22 08:14Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?SELL0.9825775076$25.86
10-22 08:14Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?BUY0.9866221357$25.98