PolyBot

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Traders

Fishcup

0xd031770977cd76b9746246b399d715c9b4c9f613

Realised P&L
$-395.21
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
43
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded43
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 01:41Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.12$25.00
10-13 20:43Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?BUY0.13$5.20
10-13 20:42Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.65$100.00
10-11 18:37Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?BUY0.55$25.00
10-10 19:39Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?BUY0.37$9.56
10-09 14:53Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?BUY0.36$10.80
10-09 14:52Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31?BUY0.75$25.00
10-07 02:04Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?BUY0.36$12.60
10-06 01:16Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.17$50.00
10-06 00:09Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?BUY0.15$25.00
10-04 17:17Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.15$100.00
10-01 21:25Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.76$100.00
09-24 02:16Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.579$44.81
09-23 01:13Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31?BUY0.59$50.00
09-22 10:57Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?SELL0.71$36.98