Fishcup
0xd031770977cd76b9746246b399d715c9b4c9f613
- Realised P&L
- $-395.21
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.92at 0.390US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$26.58at 0.790Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
- +$18.38at 0.332Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$11.98at 0.480Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$5.96at 0.894Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 01:41 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $25.00 |
| 10-13 20:43 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 10-13 20:42 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 18:37 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.55 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 19:39 | Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30? | BUY | 0.37 | $9.56 |
| 10-09 14:53 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 10-09 14:52 | Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 02:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? | BUY | 0.36 | $12.60 |
| 10-06 01:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 00:09 | Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $25.00 |
| 10-04 17:17 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 21:25 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.76 | $100.00 |
| 09-24 02:16 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.579 | $44.81 |
| 09-23 01:13 | Republican Senate odds hit 45% by October 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 10:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $36.98 |