PolyBot

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Traders

0xd01696cf3f9cdbee754526b3a2f903cd20464496

Realised P&L
$48.30
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$73.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? · Yes0.1300.145$22.31+$2.31
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0450.018$12.30$17.70
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2680.065$12.13$37.87
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1700.195$11.47+$1.47
Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0490.038$7.85$2.15
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0490.037$7.65$2.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 12:45Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.0490393197$10.00
07-29 12:45Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.0490196078$10.00
07-29 12:44Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0451367553$30.00
07-29 12:43Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
07-29 12:42Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.207920787$30.00
06-08 15:38Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2678571399$50.00
06-03 20:30Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
06-02 12:53Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005999994$1.00
06-02 12:52Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.004$1.00
06-02 12:52Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0879999852$5.00
06-02 09:18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999871$10.00