0xd01696cf3f9cdbee754526b3a2f903cd20464496
- Realised P&L
- $4.72
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $32.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.095 | $17.73 | −$32.27 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.165 | $9.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.018 | $3.77 | −$6.23 |
| Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.006 | $1.22 | −$8.78 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.03at 0.006Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.03at 0.004Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-10.32at 0.092Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-31.10at 0.215Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$-31.30at 0.047Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 12:45 | Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0490393197 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 12:45 | Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0490196078 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 12:44 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0451367553 | $30.00 |
| 07-29 12:43 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 12:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.207920787 | $30.00 |
| 06-08 15:38 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2678571399 | $50.00 |
| 06-03 20:30 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 12:53 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 12:52 | Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 12:52 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0879999852 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 09:18 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |