0xd0127492E0FA50542585e0c85354BD348eDE1D4f-1774700226026
0xd0127492e0fa50542585e0c85354bd348ede1d4f
- Realised P&L
- $20.33
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $173.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.13at 0.359U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$12.10at 0.470US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
- +$10.77at 0.297Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$10.11at 0.328Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
- +$9.31at 0.328Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:48 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 12:19 | Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 06:30 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 15:13 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7714065246 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 13:53 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1759999766 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 13:52 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.7599999954 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 13:47 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.5424069479 | $8.74 |
| 09-05 13:47 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.3 | $8.11 |
| 09-05 09:28 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 09:27 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 08-31 06:05 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.7082294213 | $20.00 |
| 08-31 05:10 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.82 |
| 08-27 16:57 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.39 |
| 08-26 10:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 08-24 08:19 | Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.1419998887 | $1.00 |