PolyBot

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Traders

0xd0127492E0FA50542585e0c85354BD348eDE1D4f-1774700226026

0xd0127492e0fa50542585e0c85354bd348ede1d4f

Realised P&L
$20.33
Volume
$4.6k
Markets traded
136
Open portfolio
$173.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded136
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.6600.860$32.58+$7.58
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.7080.880$24.85+$4.85
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.7600.935$24.61+$4.61
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.7300.840$23.01+$3.01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.6400.825$19.03+$4.27
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes0.6400.580$13.59$1.41
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.3450.240$10.42$4.58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.335$10.15$9.85
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.5300.535$10.09+$0.09
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1760.161$4.56$0.44
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? · Yes0.3000.090$1.07$2.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET · Up0.4200.000$0.00$1.00
Will KF Vllaznia Shkodër win on 2026-07-15? · Yes0.6640.000$0.00$2.07
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5 · Over0.8150.000$0.00$19.26
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals · No0.8900.000$0.00$7.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 18:48Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.64$15.00
09-08 12:19Israel Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?BUY0.8599999983$20.00
09-07 06:30Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.5299999899$10.00
09-06 15:13Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7714065246$20.00
09-05 13:53Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1759999766$5.00
09-05 13:52Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?BUY0.7599999954$20.00
09-05 13:47Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?SELL0.5424069479$8.74
09-05 13:47Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.3$8.11
09-05 09:28Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.3699999771$10.00
09-05 09:27Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
08-31 06:05Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.7082294213$20.00
08-31 05:10Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?SELL0.4$2.82
08-27 16:57Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?SELL0.09$3.39
08-26 10:16US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6599999954$20.00
08-24 08:19Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?BUY0.1419998887$1.00