0xd0127492E0FA50542585e0c85354BD348eDE1D4f-1774700226026
0xd0127492e0fa50542585e0c85354bd348ede1d4f
- Realised P&L
- $-60.30
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $277.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.34at 0.745Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$14.13at 0.359U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
- +$12.10at 0.470US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
- +$10.77at 0.297Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$10.61at 0.660Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 20:10 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 10-27 20:07 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $30.00 |
| 10-26 05:51 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 04:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7763769062 | $45.00 |
| 10-25 22:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 15:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8899999252 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 09:42 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1979999972 | $12.69 |
| 10-21 09:42 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7389999945 | $47.31 |
| 10-19 17:56 | Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0539999996 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 06:57 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 06:55 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7869999879 | $40.00 |
| 10-19 06:50 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | SELL | 0.93 | $15.22 |
| 10-16 22:29 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $20.02 |
| 10-15 16:35 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 10-15 16:32 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | BUY | 0.81 | $11.33 |