0xcff83508a98f92ee9adbebbdacad2594277ec8fc
0xcff83508a98f92ee9adbebbdacad2594277ec8fc
- Realised P&L
- $-2.72
- Volume
- $159.55
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $11.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.530 | $3.87 | +$1.68 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.963 | $3.29 | +$1.10 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.660 | 0.984 | $2.64 | +$0.87 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.145 | $0.79 | −$1.40 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.495 | $0.68 | −$0.36 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.065 | $0.37 | −$1.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.87at 0.277Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$5.86at 0.278Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$2.63at 0.460Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.550GitHub.com critical incident by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.29at 0.630US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:09 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.19 |
| 09-21 06:08 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.19 |
| 09-20 22:04 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $365 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998538 | $1.04 |
| 09-19 07:39 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.19 |
| 09-17 17:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.659999918 | $1.77 |
| 09-16 00:05 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.2694095097 | $2.19 |
| 09-10 09:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6699999419 | $2.19 |
| 09-10 01:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999037 | $2.19 |
| 09-08 15:36 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6299999051 | $2.19 |
| 09-08 07:11 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.7599999861 | $2.19 |
| 08-30 17:25 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999412 | $2.19 |
| 08-30 07:19 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | BUY | 0.6099997716 | $2.19 |
| 08-29 21:44 | Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.2199999317 | $2.19 |
| 08-29 13:43 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999486 | $2.19 |
| 08-28 17:56 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999284 | $2.19 |