BakerMason
0xcfbf1557ad46f7490f3ed6aa025c46fac8de068e
- Realised P&L
- $920.90
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $20.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar34.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No | 0.880 | 1.000 | $11.36 | +$1.36 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.900 | $5.84 | +$0.84 |
| Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No | 0.590 | 0.625 | $3.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.916 | 0.046 | $0.15 | −$2.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET · Up | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$954.02at 0.617Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
- +$4.64at 0.397Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$4.05at 0.632Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$1.30at 0.795Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5
- +$0.93at 0.883Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:02 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.82 |
| 08-08 08:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 14:23 | Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6099999999 | $1.5k |
| 06-20 12:59 | Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $6.00 |
| 06-20 12:59 | Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.7899999826 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 12:58 | Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.8799999899 | $7.00 |
| 06-20 12:58 | Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 05-23 12:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $50.00 |
| 05-13 12:35 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.3899999558 | $3.00 |
| 05-13 12:35 | Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5899999272 | $3.00 |
| 05-13 12:34 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 03-06 10:53 | LoL: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 10:53 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $205 on March 6? | BUY | 0.994 | $2.00 |
| 03-06 10:53 | Will "Cuba" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 02-23 09:54 | Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.9619999821 | $7.63 |