PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCFAAe0D3C165980A316AbFBb409B343843757179-1772453794328

0xcfaae0d3c165980a316abfbb409b343843757179

Realised P&L
$-1.45
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$31.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0930.266$8.29+$5.39
Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes0.2900.255$6.16−$0.84
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.2800.461$3.36+$1.32
Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes0.1400.135$2.89−$0.11
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0900.046$1.55−$1.45
Will Natus Vincere Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes0.0330.038$1.14+$0.14
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0570.064$1.12+$0.12
Will FURIA Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes0.0470.026$1.10−$0.90
Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII? · Yes0.4200.455$1.08+$0.08
Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII? · Yes0.2090.216$1.04+$0.04
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0720.089$0.89+$0.17
Will PARIVISION Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes0.0200.013$0.66−$0.34
Will BetBoom Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes0.0110.006$0.55−$0.45
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0320.015$0.45−$0.55
Will Legacy Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? · Yes0.0100.004$0.45−$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 17:48Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.095$3.01
10-05 17:47Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.235$5.31
10-05 17:46Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.442$7.18
10-04 19:16Will FURIA Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.0389999995$1.00
10-04 19:16Will Spirit Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.2899999884$7.00
10-04 19:15Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.1399999832$1.00
10-04 18:41Will Falcons Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.139999993$2.00
10-04 18:40Will Natus Vincere Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.0332353312$1.00
10-03 19:14Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-03 19:14Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII?BUY0.2089999998$1.00
10-03 18:38Will Legacy Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.01$1.00
10-03 18:34Will BetBoom Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.011$1.00
10-03 12:05Will PARIVISION Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.0197830457$1.00
10-03 12:03Will 9z Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.0195121951$1.00
10-03 12:02Will FURIA Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?BUY0.0599999988$1.00