PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pervoposelenec

0xcf9495623aa7c7a8e0596e1190715d1d18d632bb

Realised P&L
$-7.99
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$2.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2050.221$1.08+$0.08
Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0560.026$0.47$0.53
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · Yes0.2000.083$0.41$0.59
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes0.3600.145$0.40$0.60
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? · Yes0.0680.004$0.05$0.95
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$1.00
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$1.00
Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-17 14:44Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.449999955$5.00
03-13 19:16Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.32$1.00
03-13 19:15Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.032$1.00
03-13 19:13Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
03-13 19:10Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
03-13 19:06Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?BUY0.048999954$1.00
03-13 19:06Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?BUY0.0684577514$1.00
03-13 19:04Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.001$1.00
03-13 19:02Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2049998698$1.00
03-13 19:01Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.1799998704$1.00
03-13 18:59Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.5639999594$1.00
03-13 18:58Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
03-13 14:17Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs?BUY0.0769999348$1.00
03-13 14:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$1.00
03-13 14:13Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?BUY0.0329999684$1.00