pervoposelenec
0xcf9495623aa7c7a8e0596e1190715d1d18d632bb
- Realised P&L
- $-7.99
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $2.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.221 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Democrats win the Idaho governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.026 | $0.47 | −$0.53 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.083 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.145 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.004 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.49at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.13at 0.320Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner
- +$2.03at 0.330Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$0.77at 0.564Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$0.22at 0.820Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-17 14:44 | Counter-Strike: Omega vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 19:16 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 19:15 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 19:13 | Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 19:10 | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 19:06 | Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 19:06 | Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? | BUY | 0.0684577514 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 19:04 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 19:02 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2049998698 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 19:01 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 18:59 | Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5639999594 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 18:58 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 14:17 | Will the St. Louis Blues make the NHL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.0769999348 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 14:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 14:13 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | BUY | 0.0329999684 | $1.00 |