PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Drall

0xcf90e6b8e77b6d6cb24881f7dc71525c3132e37f

Realised P&L
$-42.97
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$20.65

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3300.305$9.74$0.80
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1630.100$6.12$3.88
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1480.045$3.06$6.94
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0290.027$1.72$0.13
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? · Yes0.3030.000$0.00$14.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 22:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3299999887$10.54
08-21 15:23Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.028999985$1.85
08-21 15:22Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?BUY0.2085919883$10.00
08-21 15:21Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1485148396$10.00
08-21 15:17Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1634615264$10.00
04-14 15:49Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?BUY0.2099999705$4.56
04-14 15:47Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?SELL0.011$0.74
04-14 15:46Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?SELL0.0341814745$1.63
04-14 15:46Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?SELL0.0205717701$1.89
03-24 19:16Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026?BUY0.1086505513$10.00
03-24 19:13Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?SELL0.3735227273$9.53
03-24 19:10Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?BUY0.3134696475$8.00
03-24 19:05Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
03-24 18:53Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30?BUY0.1490868431$10.00
03-24 18:50Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?BUY0.2099999861$10.00