Drall
0xcf90e6b8e77b6d6cb24881f7dc71525c3132e37f
- Realised P&L
- $-42.97
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $20.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.305 | $9.74 | −$0.80 |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.100 | $6.12 | −$3.88 |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.045 | $3.06 | −$6.94 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.027 | $1.72 | −$0.13 |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? · Yes | 0.303 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.96at 0.141Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
- +$1.53at 0.313Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31?
- +$1.41at 0.710Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?
- +$1.17at 0.120Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
- +$0.55at 0.208Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 22:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3299999887 | $10.54 |
| 08-21 15:23 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.028999985 | $1.85 |
| 08-21 15:22 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? | BUY | 0.2085919883 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 15:21 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1485148396 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 15:17 | Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1634615264 | $10.00 |
| 04-14 15:49 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? | BUY | 0.2099999705 | $4.56 |
| 04-14 15:47 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.74 |
| 04-14 15:46 | Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0341814745 | $1.63 |
| 04-14 15:46 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0205717701 | $1.89 |
| 03-24 19:16 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1086505513 | $10.00 |
| 03-24 19:13 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | SELL | 0.3735227273 | $9.53 |
| 03-24 19:10 | Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by March 31? | BUY | 0.3134696475 | $8.00 |
| 03-24 19:05 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 03-24 18:53 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by April 30? | BUY | 0.1490868431 | $10.00 |
| 03-24 18:50 | Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |