amau
0xcf863dcb79609390cc0c5db3711b6abbd33ab19d
- Realised P&L
- $-32.75
- Volume
- $186.3k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $18.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.25at 0.003Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$12.57at 0.007Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$10.70at 0.002Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$8.89at 0.420US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
- +$8.27at 0.013Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 20:45 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.0379333333 | $1.14 |
| 10-28 10:38 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.13 |
| 10-27 21:21 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.4131350986 | $15.29 |
| 10-27 20:41 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 20:19 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5409999811 | $10.00 |
| 10-27 20:09 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.474 | $4.74 |
| 10-27 20:00 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.501 | $5.01 |
| 10-27 19:41 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.599 | $5.99 |
| 10-27 12:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.24 | $9.60 |
| 10-27 01:58 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.55 | $7.30 |
| 10-27 01:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.20 |
| 10-25 22:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 10-25 22:11 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4101 | $8.20 |
| 10-25 10:06 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 10-18 23:11 | Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.151 | $3.77 |