PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCF828DE4f2f5EAbB3dAa1213A5893b5586E47513-1775838402064

0xcf828de4f2f5eabb3daa1213a5893b5586e47513

Realised P&L
$-55.78
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$63.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 07:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETBUY0.1299999982$5.00
10-10 07:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12?BUY0.28$5.60
10-10 07:00Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12?BUY0.82$4.10
10-09 10:42Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11?BUY0.196625$3.93
05-31 19:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
05-31 19:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
05-31 19:46Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETBUY0.5099999796$5.00
05-31 13:53Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2?BUY0.27$9.45
05-31 13:53Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2?BUY0.26$6.62
05-31 13:52Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 2?BUY0.29$14.50
05-29 08:08Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31?BUY0.35$11.05
05-27 16:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29?BUY0.07$2.10
05-27 16:43Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29?BUY0.33$10.08
05-27 16:42Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29?BUY0.07$1.68
05-24 19:05Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.4599999595$5.00