0xCF828DE4f2f5EAbB3dAa1213A5893b5586E47513-1775838402064
0xcf828de4f2f5eabb3daa1213a5893b5586e47513
- Realised P&L
- $-55.78
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $63.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.75at 0.242Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 18?
- +$31.25at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
- +$26.81at 0.280Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$14.31at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$13.26at 0.481Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 07:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 10-10 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-09 10:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.196625 | $3.93 |
| 05-31 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.45 |
| 05-31 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.26 | $6.62 |
| 05-31 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on June 2? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 05-29 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or below on May 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $11.05 |
| 05-27 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.10 |
| 05-27 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 29? | BUY | 0.33 | $10.08 |
| 05-27 16:42 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on May 29? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.68 |
| 05-24 19:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |