PolyBot

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Traders

KnureKnume

0xcf6a714618a328c608a1c70cb62a31a6bef3f9d0

Realised P&L
$155.4k
Volume
$22.21M
Markets traded
936
Open portfolio
$25.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded936
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4770.512$10.3k+$714.66
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.1960.163$8.0k$1.6k
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1460.164$1.3k+$137.98
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0830.116$867.41+$243.16
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0300.033$796.25+$54.70
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.024$727.51$2.22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4010.395$696.50$9.81
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2480.225$677.33$68.59
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0160.015$632.76$51.96
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0190.024$288.36+$48.84
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · No0.4980.650$260.07+$60.77
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · Yes0.4280.350$173.05$38.55
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes0.3110.305$167.75$3.55
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.0430.080$159.00+$72.43
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2380.155$143.79$77.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:06Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.06$14.27
09-15 21:46Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.513$564.30
09-15 21:44Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.154$115.37
09-15 18:46Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.06$240.00
09-15 17:23Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.86$55.10
09-15 15:05Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.12$600.00
09-15 14:16Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.87$36.93
09-15 14:15Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.87$501.22
09-14 23:38Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.91$414.96
09-14 22:27Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.06$0.60
09-14 22:18Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.07$0.35
09-14 22:13Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.0701006036$69.68
09-14 22:01Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.08$1.97
09-14 22:01Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.0604705671$174.77
09-14 22:00Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.1$0.50