PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ARES69420

0xcf3f5469c66e14e89761923ec222769ab0f86d9e

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$62.3k
Markets traded
599
Open portfolio
$362.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded599
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.1000.095$59.33$2.86
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0260.034$50.25+$11.25
Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0800.053$46.11$23.49
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0340.029$42.75$8.25
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0380.036$36.50$1.50
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0410.029$35.40$13.80
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0390.042$21.76+$1.31
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0100.005$16.50$13.50
Spread: Bears (-7.5) · Bears0.3800.310$15.50$3.50
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.029$14.54$5.87
Spread: Bears (-4.5) · Bears0.5000.440$8.80$1.20
Spread: Bears (-6.5) · Bears0.4300.395$7.90$0.70
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.0800.029$7.38$12.63
Minnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros · Minnesota Twins0.5200.000$0.00$5.00
Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals · Baltimore Orioles0.4770.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 15:15Spread: Bears (-7.5)BUY0.38$19.00
09-20 15:15Spread: Bears (-6.5)BUY0.43$8.60
09-20 15:15Spread: Bears (-4.5)BUY0.5$10.00
09-17 22:40Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 7.5BUY0.49$12.25
09-14 15:02Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles AngelsBUY0.5$5.00
09-14 15:02Baltimore Orioles vs. New York MetsBUY0.5399999568$5.00
09-14 15:02Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.5899999705$5.00
09-13 16:15Spread: Bills (-3.5)BUY0.63$25.20
09-12 15:02Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.549999956$5.00
09-11 15:02San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco GiantsBUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-11 15:02Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.5$5.00
09-11 15:02Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-08 15:02Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red SoxBUY0.4299999991$5.00
09-08 15:02New York Mets vs. Miami MarlinsBUY0.4699999944$5.00
08-10 15:02Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.5299999744$3.10