ARES69420
0xcf3f5469c66e14e89761923ec222769ab0f86d9e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $60.4k
- Markets traded
- 574
- Open portfolio
- $420.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded574
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.25at 0.541Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$93.21at 0.737US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$90.00at 0.100Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?
- +$90.00at 0.100Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$90.00at 0.100Spread: United States (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:02 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 15:02 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:02 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:02 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 15:01 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 15:02 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 15:01 | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 15:02 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 01:38 | Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 07-28 19:50 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $20.40 |
| 07-28 19:49 | Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 07-24 03:00 | Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.038 | $38.00 |
| 07-24 02:59 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.034 | $51.00 |
| 07-24 02:57 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.026 | $39.00 |
| 07-24 02:55 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.039 | $20.45 |