ARES69420
0xcf3f5469c66e14e89761923ec222769ab0f86d9e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $62.3k
- Markets traded
- 599
- Open portfolio
- $362.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded599
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$231.25at 0.541Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$93.21at 0.737US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$89.73at 0.103Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 Ecuador?
- +$89.73at 0.103Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$89.73at 0.103Spread: United States (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 15:15 | Spread: Bears (-7.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 09-20 15:15 | Spread: Bears (-6.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 09-20 15:15 | Spread: Bears (-4.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 22:40 | Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.49 | $12.25 |
| 09-14 15:02 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:02 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:02 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 16:15 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 09-12 15:02 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 15:02 | San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 15:02 | Chicago White Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 15:02 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 15:02 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 15:02 | New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 15:02 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.5299999744 | $3.10 |