PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bignuttruck

0xcf3ab1d53e2b1dc5aa7d6481f4960476d60251fc

Realised P&L
$-25.33
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
166
Open portfolio
$4.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded166
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.105$1.54−$3.46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5400.363$0.67−$0.33
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes0.5160.160$0.62−$1.38
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? · Yes0.3500.043$0.37−$2.63
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? · Yes0.4900.175$0.36−$0.64
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0490.017$0.33−$0.67
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1900.037$0.20−$0.80
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · Yes0.1800.018$0.18−$1.61
Epstein client list released in 2025? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$13.80
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$5.00
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00−$1.00
US congress stock trading ban in 2025? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump say "Islamic Revolutionary Guard" or "Iranian Revolutionary Guard" this week? (March 15) · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 02:54Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
06-19 23:17Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.8099999931$20.00
06-09 17:24Will GenG qualify to MSI 2026?BUY0.623$18.69
04-02 05:34Will Trump say "Palestine" in April?BUY0.62$6.20
03-08 05:04Will Trump say "Regime change" this week? (March 15)BUY0.4899999804$5.00
03-08 05:04Will Trump say "Islamic Revolutionary Guard" or "Iranian Revolutionary Guard" this week? (March 15)BUY0.7$1.00
03-08 05:03US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.6990017973$5.00
03-08 05:01Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?SELL0.9$4.50
03-01 18:07Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?BUY0.46$2.30
03-01 18:01Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.32$1.56
02-28 18:56Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.18$1.80
02-23 02:37Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.7$2.00
02-12 00:43Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.82$4.04
02-06 02:12Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
01-27 03:44Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.8099999838$4.00