PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mcvmm

0xcf19515ae8f05186240b46f38ad98cb9a63eb4a8

Realised P&L
$-118.56
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
295
Open portfolio
$13.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded295
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028? · No0.2400.610$4.93+$2.99
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? · No0.3520.342$1.82$0.05
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election? · Yes0.1200.076$1.33$0.75
Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? · No0.1400.135$1.03$0.04
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.1400.115$0.88$0.19
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · No0.1460.127$0.88$0.13
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election? · No0.0880.074$0.85$0.15
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · No0.1400.105$0.80$0.27
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? · Yes0.1800.105$0.62$0.44
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? · Yes0.1070.062$0.59$0.42
Cal Poly vs. San Jose State · Cal Poly0.1100.000$0.00$2.25
VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5 · Under0.0900.000$0.00$1.11
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5 · Over0.0900.000$0.00$1.11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 24? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00$0.78
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul · Alexander Bublik0.0900.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 17:04Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.1459999835$1.01
09-08 12:09Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?BUY0.1399999843$1.07
09-08 12:09Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?BUY0.2399999802$1.94
09-08 09:50Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.1399999843$1.07
09-08 09:50Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election?BUY0.12$1.08
09-08 03:21Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.1399999843$1.07
09-08 03:21First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election?BUY0.0879999979$1.01
09-07 22:26SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5BUY0.0899999951$1.11
09-07 22:26VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5BUY0.0899999951$1.11
09-07 16:13Cal Poly vs. San Jose StateBUY0.1099999589$2.25
09-07 13:56Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?BUY0.1069999092$1.01
09-07 09:06Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?BUY0.1799998879$1.06
09-04 19:54US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy PaulBUY0.0899999845$5.00
08-11 21:30Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.08$0.48
08-11 20:55Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.17$1.02