mcvmm
0xcf19515ae8f05186240b46f38ad98cb9a63eb4a8
- Realised P&L
- $-118.56
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $13.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.83at 0.272US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.05at 0.130Will North Carolina win the 2026 College World Series?
- +$2.78at 0.475Panathinaikos vs. Olympiacos B.C.
- +$2.74at 0.063Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.07at 0.440Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 17:04 | Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.1459999835 | $1.01 |
| 09-08 12:09 | Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms? | BUY | 0.1399999843 | $1.07 |
| 09-08 12:09 | Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028? | BUY | 0.2399999802 | $1.94 |
| 09-08 09:50 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999843 | $1.07 |
| 09-08 09:50 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 09-08 03:21 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999843 | $1.07 |
| 09-08 03:21 | First Round Outright Winner in the GA-02 House Election? | BUY | 0.0879999979 | $1.01 |
| 09-07 22:26 | SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.0899999951 | $1.11 |
| 09-07 22:26 | VfB Stuttgart vs. Viking FK: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.0899999951 | $1.11 |
| 09-07 16:13 | Cal Poly vs. San Jose State | BUY | 0.1099999589 | $2.25 |
| 09-07 13:56 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | BUY | 0.1069999092 | $1.01 |
| 09-07 09:06 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? | BUY | 0.1799998879 | $1.06 |
| 09-04 19:54 | US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 21:30 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.48 |
| 08-11 20:55 | Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.02 |