PolyBot

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Traders

0xceef9d92e9ae0bf1d29c94e2eb87630a03ae6a4d

0xceef9d92e9ae0bf1d29c94e2eb87630a03ae6a4d

Realised P&L
$-2.11
Volume
$264.88
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$3.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? · Yes0.2700.973$3.60+$2.60
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.065$0.25−$1.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 12:22Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2909999252$1.00
10-16 04:09Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-15 08:09SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 15?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-15 00:06Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-14 16:04Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.69999972$1.00
10-13 20:03Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
10-13 00:00Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-11 03:49Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?BUY0.7299994744$1.00
10-10 19:29Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-10 11:29Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.64$1.00
10-10 01:41Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
10-09 05:29SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-08 08:07Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-08 00:06Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-07 16:04Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00