uu777
0xcedda5638506791bab7b0401f7bdc2cda25b6a29
- Realised P&L
- $-15.70
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $150.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.085 | $87.83 | −$112.17 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.081 | $57.28 | −$22.72 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.015 | $5.84 | +$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.29at 0.520Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$36.62at 0.522Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?
- +$35.26at 0.579Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
- +$18.21at 0.840US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$11.25at 0.640US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 18:31 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0132694127 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 18:28 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0709999997 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 18:27 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0709999997 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 18:26 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-08 18:26 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0709999997 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 18:48 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1661344185 | $50.00 |
| 09-01 14:34 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999985 | $100.00 |
| 05-02 12:25 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1729999966 | $50.00 |
| 04-27 12:31 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $85.26 |
| 04-22 12:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.993 | $118.21 |
| 04-17 20:59 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5788087504 | $50.00 |
| 04-14 22:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-08 14:13 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $28.84 |
| 03-08 13:47 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.113 | $33.23 |
| 02-22 01:14 | Iran Strike on Israel by March 31? | BUY | 0.5220350477 | $40.00 |