PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

AkaFish

0xcecda00d8b9f911b47eb99132905914be55ce0cf

Realised P&L
$-716.23
Volume
$89.3k
Markets traded
581
Open portfolio
$683.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded581
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1690.060$180.21$328.23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.120$148.04$343.72
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0180.019$111.30+$8.85
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1430.038$80.98$220.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3730.165$34.01$42.84
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4900.485$33.95$0.35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.085$32.98$83.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2540.055$13.38$48.42
QFEX FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6720.690$11.07+$0.29
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.3700.230$6.90$4.20
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.5200.630$6.30+$1.10
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6300.755$5.99+$0.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5110.095$5.50$24.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3190.055$5.27$25.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1440.037$2.59$7.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 14:01Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.102$20.40
08-21 02:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.27$21.60
08-20 00:22Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.32433$22.70
08-20 00:22Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.2624804085$22.11
08-04 05:20Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$13.00
08-04 05:20Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$13.00
08-04 03:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.55$11.00
08-04 03:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.55$11.00
07-26 06:27Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.018$15.63
07-26 03:58Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.018$10.80
07-26 03:58Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.018$10.80
07-26 03:57Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.018$10.80
07-25 09:21Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$10.00
07-25 09:21Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$10.00
07-25 09:20Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$2.00