0xceaa881a2166131fd35d85ae206685dbf3703a65
0xceaa881a2166131fd35d85ae206685dbf3703a65
- Realised P&L
- $0.16
- Volume
- $228.75
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $10.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.690 | 0.835 | $2.77 | +$0.48 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.800 | $1.90 | +$0.90 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.360 | $1.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.690 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.370 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.690 | 0.615 | $0.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.315 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? · No | 0.670 | 0.335 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.34at 0.300US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$5.28at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.379Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$3.68at 0.389Will Trump say "Stop" during Tele-Rally?
- +$2.80at 0.450US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:21 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:21 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 19:48 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 09:31 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 06:58 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 18:23 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:17 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:06 | Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:19 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999963 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 22:39 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $127.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999476 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 07:24 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 18:18 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.7399999741 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 05:03 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999879 | $2.29 |