PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

opol1

0xce4257a09e364fd7be87d1edada6901b8beb58e4

Realised P&L
$975.18
Volume
$92.8k
Markets traded
1,966
Open portfolio
$19.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,966
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2? · Yes0.7400.890$8.90+$1.50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? · Yes0.2150.245$2.45+$0.30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3? · No0.2600.225$2.25−$0.35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3? · No0.2450.208$2.08−$0.37
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 4? · No0.2400.265$1.32+$0.13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2? · No0.6000.525$1.31−$0.19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? · No0.0930.064$0.64−$0.29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.0330.033$0.33−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 15:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.24$5.71
10-28 15:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.61$18.30
10-28 14:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETBUY0.58$17.40
10-28 14:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.7691633333$23.07
10-28 14:51Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.36$10.80
10-28 14:33Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.71$21.30
10-28 14:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.65$19.50
10-28 14:32Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETBUY0.4$12.00
10-28 14:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.41$12.30
10-28 14:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.39$9.36
10-28 14:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.42$12.60
10-28 13:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.652$19.56
10-28 13:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.31$9.30
10-28 13:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.46$13.80
10-28 13:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETBUY0.74$22.20