opol1
0xce4257a09e364fd7be87d1edada6901b8beb58e4
- Realised P&L
- $975.18
- Volume
- $92.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,966
- Open portfolio
- $19.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,966
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 2? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.890 | $8.90 | +$1.50 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 2? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.245 | $2.45 | +$0.30 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 3? · No | 0.260 | 0.225 | $2.25 | −$0.35 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 3? · No | 0.245 | 0.208 | $2.08 | −$0.37 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 4? · No | 0.240 | 0.265 | $1.32 | +$0.13 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 2? · No | 0.600 | 0.525 | $1.31 | −$0.19 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 3? · No | 0.093 | 0.064 | $0.64 | −$0.29 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.033 | 0.033 | $0.33 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.88at 0.195Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$65.46at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
- +$64.18at 0.358Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$63.92at 0.361Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
- +$60.32at 0.397Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.24 | $5.71 |
| 10-28 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 10-28 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $17.40 |
| 10-28 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7691633333 | $23.07 |
| 10-28 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 10-28 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.71 | $21.30 |
| 10-28 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 10-28 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $12.00 |
| 10-28 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $12.30 |
| 10-28 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.39 | $9.36 |
| 10-28 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 10-28 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.652 | $19.56 |
| 10-28 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 10-28 13:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $13.80 |
| 10-28 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $22.20 |