PolyBot

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Traders

vnvc

0xce36b8fedcac9b02bee7a4e63c483875625748ca

Realised P&L
$102.49
Volume
$55.5k
Markets traded
453
Open portfolio
$114.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded453
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0240.018$68.64$21.36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1940.046$16.75$53.25
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0350.021$12.32$7.68
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.002$8.75$6.24
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.2700.043$7.87$42.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00$3.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET · Up0.3470.000$0.00$2.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET · Up0.3800.000$0.00$1.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Down0.4370.000$0.00$5.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00$0.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.2350.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00$1.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Up0.3920.000$0.00$5.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.3460.000$0.00$8.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 05:23Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.038$10.86
08-23 06:46Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0256137011$30.00
08-22 20:32Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0241272452$10.00
08-22 20:30Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0239999977$10.00
08-22 20:30Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0239999977$10.00
08-22 20:29Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0239999988$20.00
08-21 08:50Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.002$10.00
08-21 08:30Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0218471986$10.00
08-21 08:28Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0161870002$14.72
08-06 07:49Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.25$151.31
08-06 07:48Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0348959908$20.00
06-30 20:34Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
06-30 20:32Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0349999967$10.00
05-18 19:37Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0059999988$5.00
05-18 19:33Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.011$10.00