vnvc
0xce36b8fedcac9b02bee7a4e63c483875625748ca
- Realised P&L
- $102.49
- Volume
- $55.5k
- Markets traded
- 453
- Open portfolio
- $114.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded453
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.34at 0.367Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
- +$156.73at 0.726Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
- +$126.25at 0.602Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?
- +$125.55at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$103.18at 0.594Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 05:23 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.038 | $10.86 |
| 08-23 06:46 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0256137011 | $30.00 |
| 08-22 20:32 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0241272452 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 20:30 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 20:30 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 20:29 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0239999988 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 08:50 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 08:30 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0218471986 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 08:28 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0161870002 | $14.72 |
| 08-06 07:49 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.25 | $151.31 |
| 08-06 07:48 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0348959908 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 20:34 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 06-30 20:32 | Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0349999967 | $10.00 |
| 05-18 19:37 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0059999988 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 19:33 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |