Richard.santos3
0xce345e9a8fe52affa9492c04f353ce206f51ce40
- Realised P&L
- $-93.25
- Volume
- $46.2k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $276.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.07at 0.183Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$154.92at 0.120Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $88,000 on January 21?
- +$84.89at 0.362Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
- +$45.50at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 2PM ET
- +$32.52at 0.426Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:28 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.059999999 | $2.30 |
| 09-16 18:26 | US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30? | BUY | 0.0239080457 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 18:25 | Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | BUY | 0.0509999998 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:22 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0519999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:20 | Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:20 | Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 18:11 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 18:10 | Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:04 | Will Marco Antônio Superman win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.0364766627 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 01:35 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.531 | $145.85 |
| 09-14 15:52 | Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.037 | $1.85 |
| 09-14 15:49 | Will Marco Antônio Superman win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.0339558574 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:38 | Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 15:37 | Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | BUY | 0.0590772139 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 14:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1919999994 | $20.00 |