PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Richard.santos3

0xce345e9a8fe52affa9492c04f353ce206f51ce40

Realised P&L
$-93.25
Volume
$46.2k
Markets traded
227
Open portfolio
$276.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded227
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4000.395$49.38$0.63
Will Marco Antônio Superman win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yes0.0400.052$41.50+$9.43
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1780.225$28.98+$5.98
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31? · Yes0.5900.505$25.68$4.32
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · Yes0.0740.046$15.83$9.35
Lula participates in debate before first round? · Yes0.4020.360$13.42$1.58
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · Yes0.2830.175$12.17$7.51
Will Patrus Ananias win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0750.072$9.66$0.34
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30? · Yes0.0600.055$9.17$0.83
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1600.140$8.75$1.25
Will Domingos Sávio win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yes0.1590.102$7.38$4.15
Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yes0.1700.220$6.47+$1.47
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? · Yes0.2460.076$6.17$13.83
Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0130.024$5.60+$2.60
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Ceará? · Yes0.0170.017$4.94$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:28Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.059999999$2.30
09-16 18:26US expels a Brazilian diplomat by September 30?BUY0.0239080457$2.00
09-16 18:25Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?BUY0.0509999998$10.00
09-16 18:22Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0519999995$5.00
09-16 18:20Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by September 30?BUY0.0599999999$10.00
09-16 18:20Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?BUY0.5899999957$30.00
09-16 18:11Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.4$50.00
09-16 18:10Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.16$10.00
09-16 18:04Will Marco Antônio Superman win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?BUY0.0364766627$20.00
09-16 01:35Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.531$145.85
09-14 15:52Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?BUY0.037$1.85
09-14 15:49Will Marco Antônio Superman win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?BUY0.0339558574$5.00
09-14 15:38Will Marília Campos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-14 15:37Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?BUY0.0590772139$5.00
09-14 14:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.1919999994$20.00