PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Dionis81

0xce2b9584d6e31c5d661a1d780a84383916714cdd

Realised P&L
$131.90
Volume
$7.0k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$515.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fort Worth: Spencer Johnson vs Erik Arutiunian · Spencer Johnson0.6880.650$85.02−$4.98
W50 Austin: Christasha McNeil vs Evialina Laskevich · Christasha McNeil0.4300.465$75.74+$5.74
W50 Austin: Diae El Jardi vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen · Rebecca Munk Mortensen0.8461.000$70.90+$10.90
W50 Austin: Adriana Reami vs Arina Bulatova · Adriana Reami0.5780.715$66.07+$12.68
Cali: Alex Hernandez vs Matteo Covato · Alex Hernandez0.7901.000$63.29+$13.29
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? · Boy0.5200.510$41.11−$0.81
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? · Up0.4400.795$36.14+$16.14
Fort Worth: Andrew Fenty vs Kaylan Bigun · Kaylan Bigun0.4060.475$32.35+$4.68
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Merab Dvalishvili0.4100.395$19.27−$0.73
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1800.155$4.31−$0.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes0.7600.675$3.55−$0.45
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.0430.029$3.42−$1.58
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2200.250$3.41+$0.41
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30? · No0.1600.170$3.19+$0.19
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.2700.265$2.94−$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 20:09Fort Worth: Andrew Fenty vs Kaylan BigunBUY0.4063287964$27.67
10-18 20:08Fort Worth: Spencer Johnson vs Erik ArutiunianBUY0.6880886426$90.00
10-18 20:05W50 Austin: Christasha McNeil vs Evialina LaskevichBUY0.4297445848$70.00
10-18 20:01W50 Austin: Adriana Reami vs Arina BulatovaBUY0.5799999992$30.00
10-18 19:57W50 Austin: Adriana Reami vs Arina BulatovaBUY0.5749164208$23.39
10-18 19:55W50 Austin: Diae El Jardi vs Rebecca Munk MortensenBUY0.8458468916$60.00
10-18 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?BUY0.4399999947$20.00
10-18 15:37Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl?BUY0.5199999719$5.92
10-18 15:36Cali: Alex Hernandez vs Matteo CovatoBUY0.7899999997$50.00
10-18 15:33Fort Worth: Kenta Miyoshi vs Keshav ChopraBUY0.8188302413$70.00
10-18 15:30M15 Maceio: Enzo Lima vs Vitor Machado De Melo CunhaBUY0.8099999977$50.00
10-18 15:27Lyon Open, Qualification: Francesco Maestrelli vs Borna GojoBUY0.48$60.00
10-18 15:26Lyon Open, Qualification: Valentin Royer vs Clement TaburBUY0.2333495377$40.00
10-18 15:23Roanne: Matteo Martineau vs Mika BrunoldBUY0.5399999957$30.00
10-18 15:21UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.4099999984$20.00