RonBar
0xce20de0ccb23b5ab3decdde1554e695ae2d63936
- Realised P&L
- $-66.67
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $61.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.329 | 0.213 | $13.53 | −$7.31 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.485 | $12.44 | +$2.44 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.324 | 0.325 | $10.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No | 0.390 | 0.325 | $6.83 | −$1.36 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.095 | $5.89 | −$6.76 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.075 | $5.29 | −$6.71 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.030 | $3.59 | −$4.41 |
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.049 | $3.39 | −$0.80 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? · No | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.10 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? · No | 0.146 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.06at 0.340France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$10.15at 0.379Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?
- +$-0.98at 0.033Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
- +$-22.00at 0.409Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-40.61at 0.141Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:15 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.4611571396 | $19.93 |
| 08-01 19:15 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 08-01 19:13 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 08-01 19:13 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | SELL | 0.44 | $23.41 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 08-01 15:16 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 12:58 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.359999976 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 12:28 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.3556673134 | $11.00 |
| 08-01 11:28 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.35 |
| 08-01 07:57 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 20:47 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.3235293994 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 16:53 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 07-25 21:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | SELL | 0.036 | $0.36 |
| 07-25 16:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.015 | $2.58 |
| 07-25 16:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.02 |