0xcE06b96C7A09524EFd28265B57c9FDbFA9a29A1e-1730086978225
0xce06b96c7a09524efd28265b57c9fdbfa9a29a1e
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $133.2k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.078Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
- +$1.9kat 0.255Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$1.0kat 0.811Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$849.07at 0.388Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$665.72at 0.153Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 19:24 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 07:03 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.1957157815 | $30.00 |
| 10-27 19:57 | Will Mai Vang win the CA-07 House seat? | BUY | 0.3872889745 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 07:29 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.679999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-26 07:29 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999998 | $30.00 |
| 10-26 07:28 | Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 07:27 | Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 10-26 07:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 07:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 07:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-26 07:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.4094304811 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 07:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 10-26 07:25 | Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.4470790815 | $60.00 |
| 10-26 07:23 | Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 10-09 22:34 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |