PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

wingtwo8

0xcdfd19f683c26b0c612c9d38349d0085b3e76b71

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$56.3k
Markets traded
363
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded363
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.7450.982$196.30+$47.30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8800.958$191.50+$15.50
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8760.990$175.14+$20.15
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5350.952$161.26+$70.52
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8350.986$139.71+$21.34
Will Dogecoin reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.965$136.92+$4.85
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6680.963$103.45+$31.66
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.986$98.55+$19.55
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.976$97.55+$20.55
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.972$97.15+$27.15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8290.960$95.95+$13.05
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6800.934$93.40+$25.40
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.905$90.49+$61.50
Will Dogecoin reach $0.44 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.956$86.15+$2.34
Will BNB reach $1300 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8570.900$75.15+$3.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 20:44Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8699999678$10.00
06-26 20:44Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8799999296$10.00
06-26 20:41Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9049999988$30.00
06-26 20:39Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.002$0.04
06-26 20:35Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.1911362272$9.55
06-26 20:34Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.06$1.20
06-26 20:33Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.94$47.00
06-26 19:30Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.989$19.78
06-26 19:24Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.989$19.78
06-26 19:21Will Uzbekistan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.994$119.28
06-26 19:20Will New Zealand reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.972$48.60
06-26 19:18Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$9.20
06-26 19:17Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$17.77
06-26 19:17Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$16.74
06-26 19:16Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?BUY0.979$97.90