0xcdf9b69b5ecbfe4f01fc39b0a142fb5c8f5419c0
- Realised P&L
- $39.63
- Volume
- $661.11
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $22.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.981 | $10.40 | +$3.40 |
| Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.965 | $4.52 | +$1.52 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.845 | $3.16 | +$0.73 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.726 | 0.841 | $2.81 | +$0.38 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.860 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.34at 0.278Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$29.11at 0.175Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.28at 0.595Bitcoin above 72,200 on April 13, 1PM ET?
- +$11.95at 0.343Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
- +$7.63at 0.594Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 13:53 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4859999899 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 20:36 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.3299999664 | $6.00 |
| 07-16 10:06 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.645999986 | $7.00 |
| 07-16 10:05 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4159999456 | $3.00 |
| 07-16 10:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5799999923 | $6.00 |
| 07-15 19:11 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5474999807 | $10.00 |
| 07-15 18:56 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6549999869 | $6.00 |
| 07-15 18:56 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3449999692 | $6.00 |
| 07-15 18:53 | England to score first vs. Argentina? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 20:43 | Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Spain? | BUY | 0.083999976 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 21:49 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4729999702 | $3.00 |
| 07-08 21:47 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 21:46 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3259999627 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 14:29 | Will Angel Reese have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 14:27 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5599999253 | $3.00 |