PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

inev

0xcdde9b517f4b408721f94550e68e8e7c2952f383

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$99.4k
Markets traded
131
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded131
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4320.672$467.29+$167.29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.464$402.74+$402.74
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5450.325$298.05−$201.95
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2000.070$175.00−$325.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00−$400.00
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? · Yes0.5870.000$0.00−$703.21
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1880.000$0.00−$395.52
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes0.2470.000$0.00−$20.00
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k? · Yes0.4580.000$0.00−$771.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.7500.000$0.00−$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 03:00Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.144$131.00
09-09 03:00Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.05$83.33
08-07 03:37Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.4370562017$379.76
07-20 04:57Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.4317405042$300.00
07-20 04:57Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.3297772898$300.00
07-20 04:55Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.53$1.0k
07-08 11:35Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1879999996$395.52
07-08 11:35Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3269999995$400.00
07-06 06:45Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999995$200.00
07-06 06:43Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.2$500.00
07-06 06:41Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?BUY0.54520222$500.00
07-01 00:20Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?SELL0.985$466.87
07-01 00:19Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.0149999993$20.00
06-30 23:28Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?BUY0.8439156083$400.00
06-30 23:10Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?BUY0.6488010151$300.00