0xcdd316a5577adfa0ff0171ab6431a8fbbe318125
0xcdd316a5577adfa0ff0171ab6431a8fbbe318125
- Realised P&L
- $-86.28
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.200Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
- +$9.40at 0.030Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?
- +$8.00at 0.300No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?
- +$7.80at 0.422Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- +$7.56at 0.140Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 22:42 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 in September? | BUY | 0.97 | $58.20 |
| 09-25 22:42 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $184 in September? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.14 |
| 09-25 20:12 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 in September? | BUY | 0.97 | $58.20 |
| 09-25 20:12 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $184 in September? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.14 |
| 09-25 18:11 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.94 |
| 09-25 14:04 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in September? | BUY | 0.19 | $26.60 |
| 09-25 11:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | SELL | 0.988 | $177.84 |
| 09-25 11:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.02 | $3.60 |
| 09-24 20:54 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in September? | SELL | 0.934 | $21.48 |
| 09-24 17:35 | Will “Dry Spell” by Kacey Musgraves win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 09-24 17:33 | Will “Dry Spell” by Kacey Musgraves win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.60 |
| 09-24 16:08 | Will the Democratic Party control the Maine Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.17 | $27.20 |
| 09-24 14:43 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.08 |
| 09-24 14:40 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.28 | $10.08 |
| 09-24 14:38 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.31 | $16.23 |