0xcdbbf902a9b2977a6e3d3e0c6fb5d7700fdc0bf5
0xcdbbf902a9b2977a6e3d3e0c6fb5d7700fdc0bf5
- Realised P&L
- $18.97
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $159.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.194 | 0.015 | $146.32 | −$1.8k |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.615 | $13.09 | +$3.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.91at 0.321Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-2.94at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 21:03 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1660727234 | $484.00 |
| 09-03 20:52 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1767688979 | $965.00 |
| 09-03 20:38 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.3645676672 | $323.00 |
| 09-03 19:52 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $162.40 |
| 09-03 15:46 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999956 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 13:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 08-24 15:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.75 |
| 07-29 19:21 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |