asfdt29
0xcdb0dbb51447359c4b43891e66aed7be43eb1581
- Realised P&L
- $-6.64
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $91.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.00at 0.324US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$5.80at 0.072Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31?
- +$5.30at 0.404Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$5.28at 0.080US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$4.31at 0.082Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 09:59 | Kash Patel out by June 30? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.38 |
| 04-28 09:41 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.682 | $2.37 |
| 04-28 09:34 | Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.59 |
| 04-27 16:27 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.04 |
| 04-27 16:27 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.04 |
| 04-27 16:27 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.04 |
| 04-26 21:12 | Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.37 | $2.00 |
| 04-26 21:11 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.01 |
| 04-26 21:10 | Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 04-26 01:18 | Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.09 |
| 04-26 01:18 | Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.76 |
| 04-26 01:10 | Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.15 |
| 04-25 22:21 | Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.43 |
| 04-25 20:05 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.29 |
| 04-25 20:01 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.18 |