PolyBot

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Traders

Ignacio06

0xcdaf8397c8261e23f5ff18cde78441e39258eff6

Realised P&L
$5.5k
Volume
$122.1k
Markets traded
187
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded187
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7100.735$735.00+$25.00
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.615$492.00+$4.00
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? · Yes0.5390.520$390.00−$14.16
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? · Yes0.4480.465$232.50+$8.47
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2860.205$205.00−$80.71
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6220.865$86.49+$24.27
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.5130.805$80.48+$29.16
Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi? · Mississippi0.5950.595$47.43−$0.00
Will Artificial win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0050.004$9.00−$1.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.4400.000$0.00−$220.00
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3410.000$0.00−$85.19
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$48.83
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? · Yes0.5270.000$0.00−$527.50
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00−$129.68
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$26.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:50Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?BUY0.59$23.43
11-02 01:45Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.5388798667$404.16
11-02 01:33Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?BUY0.44$45.38
11-02 01:32Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?BUY0.43$9.40
11-02 01:26Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.23$172.50
11-02 01:25Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.71$710.00
11-02 01:25Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.61$488.00
10-29 07:12Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.0154649065$3.96
10-29 07:11Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.0217295348$1.21
10-28 20:30Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?BUY0.47$152.75
10-28 20:29Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.992$99.19
10-28 05:42Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.555$11.10
10-28 01:02Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.41$41.00
10-28 01:02Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.5879999983$100.00
10-28 01:01Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.987$148.05