Ignacio06
0xcdaf8397c8261e23f5ff18cde78441e39258eff6
- Realised P&L
- $5.2k
- Volume
- $112.1k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$863.34at 0.137Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$546.39at 0.271Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
- +$396.37at 0.471Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$382.54at 0.569Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$360.22at 0.278Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 00:32 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 07-15 17:46 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 07-15 17:45 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.41 |
| 07-14 21:45 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6217791411 | $101.35 |
| 07-03 02:57 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.065112 | $48.83 |
| 07-03 02:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.219 | $21.90 |
| 07-03 02:55 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3407599904 | $85.19 |
| 07-03 02:54 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.44 | $220.00 |
| 07-03 02:54 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $15.75 |
| 07-03 02:53 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.4104854369 | $338.24 |
| 06-24 01:38 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.64 | $31.71 |
| 06-24 01:37 | Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 06-24 01:37 | Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 06-24 01:21 | Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | BUY | 0.24 | $46.56 |
| 06-24 01:21 | Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13? | BUY | 0.24 | $13.44 |