Ignacio06
0xcdaf8397c8261e23f5ff18cde78441e39258eff6
- Realised P&L
- $5.5k
- Volume
- $122.1k
- Markets traded
- 187
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded187
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$863.34at 0.137Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$657.53at 0.603Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$546.39at 0.271Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
- +$396.37at 0.471Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$391.69at 0.590Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 01:50 | Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.43 |
| 11-02 01:45 | Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.5388798667 | $404.16 |
| 11-02 01:33 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.44 | $45.38 |
| 11-02 01:32 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.43 | $9.40 |
| 11-02 01:26 | Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $172.50 |
| 11-02 01:25 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $710.00 |
| 11-02 01:25 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $488.00 |
| 10-29 07:12 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0154649065 | $3.96 |
| 10-29 07:11 | Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0217295348 | $1.21 |
| 10-28 20:30 | Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.47 | $152.75 |
| 10-28 20:29 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.992 | $99.19 |
| 10-28 05:42 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.555 | $11.10 |
| 10-28 01:02 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 10-28 01:02 | Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.5879999983 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 01:01 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.987 | $148.05 |