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Traders

TheIronBank

0xcda125f672ebca9892ff741e40a304fae903d9ad

Realised P&L
$-8.3k
Volume
$617.8k
Markets traded
672
Open portfolio
$78.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded672
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.5200.175$35.00−$69.00
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%? · Yes0.6250.757$30.28+$5.28
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? · Yes0.6250.035$7.57−$129.57
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · No0.8590.185$5.11−$18.62
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%? · Yes0.4700.009$0.73−$35.26
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No0.4370.000$0.00−$1.7k
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No0.5570.000$0.00−$603.62
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? · No0.5220.000$0.00−$1.4k
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.6970.000$0.00−$1.9k
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? · No0.2470.000$0.00−$395.99
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00−$21.91
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No0.8040.000$0.00−$884.12
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? · No0.6530.000$0.00−$270.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-18 06:19Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7$14.00
04-18 06:18Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6671572923$94.42
04-18 06:18Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?SELL0.0107766589$116.96
04-18 06:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?SELL0.242116933$155.17
04-18 06:18Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?SELL0.0236267287$185.89
04-18 06:18Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.71$213.00
04-18 06:18Iran leadership change by April 30?SELL0.9629803$385.19
04-18 06:18NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?SELL0.2029327248$209.89
04-18 06:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.6$464.41
04-07 19:45Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7987330799$119.79
04-07 17:47Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.9$112.50
04-07 12:38Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$89.00
04-07 12:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.87$155.40
04-07 04:29Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.12$120.00
04-06 15:53US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?BUY0.26$52.00