PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mozera

0xcd9cb35ef95be58d75e8a6a0d68b8ed599e49b0a

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$19.1k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$487.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1201.000$408.00+$359.04
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? · Yes0.1000.081$40.25−$9.75
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · No0.1000.235$17.76+$10.20
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.4000.069$13.80−$66.20
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1600.024$7.34−$42.66
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 4? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$56.00
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$30.00
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$52.00
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$54.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00−$189.99
Will Italy join the Board of Peace? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$101.99
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$110.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 02:49Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?SELL0.85$170.00
07-19 02:49Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.59$231.28
07-03 15:36Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.038$148.57
07-03 08:37Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 4?BUY0.14$3.61
01-30 14:14Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?SELL0.1401383621$200.20
01-30 09:24Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.87$102.35
01-30 09:24Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?SELL0.2697362$134.87
01-30 09:23Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.31$58.13
01-10 08:44Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?BUY0.0699999994$100.00
01-08 13:38Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.13$54.42
01-07 19:04Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.16$50.00
01-07 15:09Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.24$45.00
01-07 15:07Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?BUY0.1194505256$50.00
01-06 19:46Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.8499999996$100.00