Mozera
0xcd9cb35ef95be58d75e8a6a0d68b8ed599e49b0a
- Realised P&L
- $2.0k
- Volume
- $19.1k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $487.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.068Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
- +$18.73at 0.750Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
- +$13.13at 0.240Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$4.42at 0.119Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
- +$2.35at 0.850Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 02:49 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 07-19 02:49 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.59 | $231.28 |
| 07-03 15:36 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.038 | $148.57 |
| 07-03 08:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.61 |
| 01-30 14:14 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | SELL | 0.1401383621 | $200.20 |
| 01-30 09:24 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $102.35 |
| 01-30 09:24 | Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | SELL | 0.2697362 | $134.87 |
| 01-30 09:23 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $58.13 |
| 01-10 08:44 | Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $100.00 |
| 01-08 13:38 | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $54.42 |
| 01-07 19:04 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |
| 01-07 15:09 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $45.00 |
| 01-07 15:07 | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1194505256 | $50.00 |
| 01-06 19:46 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |