Artaius
0xcd9607c4a676b7815f10bb8bc25355414e47cbdc
- Realised P&L
- $35.9k
- Volume
- $3.79M
- Markets traded
- 1,340
- Open portfolio
- $10.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,340
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.664Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$2.4kat 0.625US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.846USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$1.4kat 0.977US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.661Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 12:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $26.60 |
| 09-03 23:44 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SELL | 0.26 | $15.60 |
| 08-24 05:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.96 | $448.32 |
| 08-13 23:22 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $110.00 |
| 08-03 02:09 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.98 |
| 07-31 08:35 | Will another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.22 |
| 07-31 08:31 | Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | SELL | 0.62 | $61.38 |
| 07-31 05:02 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $589.20 |
| 07-31 04:32 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.76 | $760.00 |
| 07-30 21:15 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $27.10 |
| 07-30 21:12 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $14.55 |
| 07-30 21:10 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.2k |
| 07-27 08:47 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $470.00 |
| 07-27 08:45 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $282.00 |
| 07-27 07:09 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $64.00 |