PolyBot

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Traders

Artaius

0xcd9607c4a676b7815f10bb8bc25355414e47cbdc

Realised P&L
$34.3k
Volume
$3.72M
Markets traded
1,341
Open portfolio
$4.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,341
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7600.825$825.00+$65.00
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.7780.933$371.61+$61.55
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.3480.925$271.14+$169.23
Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.4360.840$218.40+$105.05
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.4750.820$208.28+$87.60
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8560.972$194.29+$23.16
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? · No0.8180.953$163.38+$23.18
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No0.8000.907$136.05+$16.05
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.5900.860$129.00+$40.50
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9360.981$126.62+$5.83
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $400B by December 31? · No0.9000.965$118.02+$7.95
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? · No0.6850.865$102.07+$21.19
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31? · No0.3240.790$88.88+$52.43
Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? · No0.1400.805$80.50+$66.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · No0.5670.340$71.40−$47.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 09:52Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?SELL0.965$125.55
09-05 12:30Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.19$26.60
09-03 23:44OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?SELL0.26$15.60
08-24 05:03Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.96$448.32
08-13 23:22Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?SELL0.88$110.00
08-03 02:09Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.13$5.98
07-31 08:35Will another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.002$0.22
07-31 08:31Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?SELL0.62$61.38
07-31 05:02US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?SELL0.982$589.20
07-31 04:32Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.76$760.00
07-30 21:15Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?SELL0.28$27.10
07-30 21:12Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?SELL0.05$14.55
07-30 21:10Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?SELL0.94$1.2k
07-27 08:47Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.94$470.00
07-27 08:45Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.94$282.00